Harry Enten, FiveThirtyEight Gardner’s chance of winning has risen to 80 percent. He has led in all but one of 15 nonpartisan sponsored surveys released since mid-September, and by an average of 3.4 percentage points. That includes a newly released Ipsos poll that has Gardner ahead 47 percent to 45 percent, and a new Suffolk University poll that found Gardner up 46 percent to 39 percent. Gardner was only ahead by 1 percentage point in the previous Suffolk survey. Yet we’re beginning to hear arguments not to trust the polls in Colorado.
The problem with being on the hot seat in the football coaching profession is that a lot can be said or written in a week's time before a coach has a chance to silence critics. When a bye week is involved, the pain is double.